EP
EPR PROPERTIES (EPR)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 delivered modest top-line growth (+3% YoY) but a GAAP net loss driven by non‑cash impairments and JV write‑offs; non‑GAAP FFOAA/AFFO per share remained resilient versus prior year .
- Introduced FY2025 FFOAA guidance of $4.94–$5.14 per diluted share (+3.5% y/y midpoint) and investment spending of $200–$300M; disposition proceeds of $25–$75M .
- Raised the monthly common dividend 3.5% to $0.295 beginning with the April 15, 2025 payment; AFFO payout guided to ~70% at the midpoint .
- Strategic pivot away from operating properties: exited the Breaux Bridge RV JV (impairment $16.1M; $10.3M provision), under contract to sell four theater assets, and recognized $40.0M impairments tied to expected sales .
- Liquidity and balance sheet remain solid (cash $22.1M; $175.0M drawn on $1.0B revolver; only $300.0M of 2025 maturities); net debt/Adj. EBITDAre 5.3x in Q4 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong non‑GAAP operating performance: Q4 FFOAA per diluted share rose to $1.23 (+4% y/y), AFFO per diluted share rose to $1.22 (+5% y/y) despite macro and impairment noise .
- Percentage rent structure under Regal and broader box office recovery supported theaters; management expects 2025 NABOG of $9.3–$9.7B .
- Portfolio quality and coverage: total portfolio 99% leased/operated; overall TTM coverage 2.0x with non‑theater at 2.5x; theaters stabilized at 1.5x .
- Quote: “We are pleased to have delivered 3.4% earnings growth for full year 2024 when removing the impact of out‑of‑period deferred rent and interest collections” – CEO Greg Silvers .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP net loss in Q4 from non‑cash impairment charges ($40.0M on theater assets under contract and $16.1M on the RV JV) and credit loss provision ($9.9M) .
- Operating properties volatility (Kartrite hotel/indoor waterpark expense pressures incl. insurance) offset gains from managed theaters, prompting exit from operating asset strategy .
- Percentage rent down q/q (seasonality and asset sales) and other income declined q/q reflecting operating property dynamics .
Financial Results
Revenue mix
KPIs and ratios
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We anticipate approximately 3.5% earnings growth at the midpoint of guidance through efficient sourcing of capital, which is not dependent upon any equity issuance” – CEO Greg Silvers .
- “We will no longer pursue these types of [operating] investments… the juice isn’t worth the squeeze in terms of performance” – EVP & CIO Greg Zimmerman .
- “We expect results for Q1 2025 to be ~$0.10 per share lower than the full‑year divided by four” – CFO Mark Peterson .
- “We finalized our exit earlier this month… recognized $16.1M impairment and $10.3M provision for credit loss on the subordinated mortgage note” – CFO Mark Peterson .
Q&A Highlights
- Cost of capital and deployment: blended cost in low‑8% (60/40 equity/debt); require 100–150 bps spread for incremental deployment . Funding plan includes a potential ~$400M bond to term out revolver draws .
- Asset sales: one non‑vacant theater under contract at ~9% cap rate; broader leased theater market still thin but expected to thaw with box office recovery .
- Credit losses: budgeted at
1% of EBITDA ($5M) consistent with historical practice . - Strategy: explicit exit from operating properties (Kartrite and certain theaters) due to volatility and insurance costs; focus on net lease structures (hot springs, Andretti, fitness/wellness) .
- Percentage rent: high‑end achievement tied primarily to Regal box office performance; non‑theater percentage rents largely stable with puts/takes from base rent step‑ups .
Estimates Context
- Attempts to retrieve S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to provider limits; therefore, comparison to Wall Street consensus could not be performed at this time. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global when available.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Non‑GAAP earnings power intact: FFOAA/AFFO per share remained strong despite GAAP impairments; 2025 FFOAA guidance implies mid‑single‑digit growth and supports the dividend increase .
- Strategic de‑risking: accelerated exit from operating assets (RV JV, operating theaters) reduces earnings volatility and insurance exposure; redeployment into net‑lease experiential should improve quality and predictability .
- Box office is a 2025 tailwind: management’s $9.3–$9.7B NABOG forecast and Regal percentage rent mechanics support upside skew; watch slate cadence and Q2–Q4 seasonality .
- Balance sheet flexibility: limited 2025 maturities ($300M), ample revolver, intent to term out with bonds; net debt/Adj. EBITDAre in a manageable 5.3x range .
- Trading implications: dividend uplift and 2025 guidance are near‑term catalysts; confirmation of theater asset sales and further JV exits could unlock value by simplifying the portfolio .
- Monitor percentage rent and managed property performance: percentage rent guidance step‑up and reduction in operating property exposure should reduce volatility; Q1 seasonality noted by CFO .
- Execution focus: timely dispositions (two theater properties under contract and two leased to smaller operator) and disciplined capital allocation (mortgage‑to‑fee conversions, Andretti builds, hot springs) remain key .
All quantitative data and statements are sourced from EPR’s Q4 2024 8‑K and exhibits, Q4 2024 press release, Q4 2024 earnings call transcript, and prior quarter filings and materials: **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex991-eprx12312024earnings.htm:0]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex991-eprx12312024earnings.htm:1]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex991-eprx12312024earnings.htm:2]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex991-eprx12312024earnings.htm:3]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex991-eprx12312024earnings.htm:4]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex991-eprx12312024earnings.htm:6]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex991-eprx12312024earnings.htm:7]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex991-eprx12312024earnings.htm:10]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex993-eprx12312024suppleme.htm:3]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex993-eprx12312024suppleme.htm:13]** **[1045450_0001045450-25-000049_ex993-eprx12312024suppleme.htm:16]** **[1045450_6ba447c3788744779f8362c6bc5eecbe_0]** **[1045450_6ba447c3788744779f8362c6bc5eecbe_5]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_1]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_2]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_3]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_6]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_7]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_8]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_11]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_15]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_16]** **[1045450_EPR_3418273_22]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000085_ex991-eprx9302024earningsr.htm:5]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000085_ex991-eprx9302024earningsr.htm:8]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000085_ex991-eprx9302024earningsr.htm:11]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000085_ex993-eprx9302024supplemen.htm:3]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000085_ex993-eprx9302024supplemen.htm:7]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000085_ex993-eprx9302024supplemen.htm:13]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000085_ex993-eprx9302024supplemen.htm:16]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000057_ex991-eprx6302024earningsr.htm:3]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000057_ex991-eprx6302024earningsr.htm:6]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000057_ex991-eprx6302024earningsr.htm:9]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000057_ex993-eprx6302024supplemen.htm:3]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000057_ex993-eprx6302024supplemen.htm:13]** **[1045450_0001045450-24-000057_ex993-eprx6302024supplemen.htm:16]** **[1045450_c73845786e9b41ab8b75f21396941b76_0]**.